This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 03:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the strongest of the 15 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 10:53PM EDT until March 15 at 11:45PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
An estimated 80,424 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- May 22, 2026 · score 39 · 8.3 km
- May 23, 2026 · score 34 · 12.5 km
- May 22, 2026 · score 58 · 16.5 km
How we know
Confirmed by 3 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 63 out of 100, at 87 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 63 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 87% |
| Coordinates | 36.9549, -86.9074 |
| Nearest City | Bowling Green (42 km) |
| Population Exposed | 80.4K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T02:53:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.49a9e167334ddacf3fbba652ac931534 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Butler, KY; Edmonson, KY; Grayson, KY; Hardin, KY; Hart, KY; Ohio, KY; Montgomery, TN; Todd, KY |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 10:53PM EDT until March 15 at 11:45PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T23:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Louisville KY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.49a9e167334ddacf3fbba652ac931534e116c114.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9cc303cff07cef5907c965d1891efd606cf1059f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e1c231fdca67c3dd0fc5597e6ef22231930db1f1.002.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | 70 |
| Spc Location | Pembroke |
| Spc County | Christian |
| Spc State | KY |
| Spc Comments | (PAH) |
| Iem TypeSummary | G |
| Iem Magnitude | 70 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | Pembroke |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 63/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.